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Cognitive Bias

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Cognitive Bias: Thinking Fast and Slow …

Cognitive Bias: Thinking Fast and Slow…

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: Thinking Fast and Slow …

Cognitive Bias: Base Rate Fallacy

If a test to detect a disease whose prevalence is 1/1000 has a false positive rate of 5%, what is the chance that a person found to have a positive…

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: Base Rate Fallacy

Cognitive Bias: The framing effect

You are the head of an industrial company operating 600 plants with severe economic problems. After discussion with your strategic

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: The framing effect

Behavioral finance, risk profiling and Prospect Theory

Prospect Theory is one of the most famous behavioral finance theory. It describes how investors make decision under risk. A short insight in this article.

Continue ReadingBehavioral finance, risk profiling and Prospect Theory

Cognitive Bias: ambiguity aversion

As an investor, you have three investment options for the next semester: You get €500.000 for sure You invest in a stock with a 50% of chance of earning €1M…

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: ambiguity aversion

Cognitive Bias: The Cognitive Zoo

The tendency to avoid options for which missing information makes the probability seem “unknown.”

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: The Cognitive Zoo

Cognitive Bias: Anchoring effect

You have to hire one candidate among two for a given position. You look at the reports of the HR interviews and find the following key conclusions of the reports. Sophie: smart-kind-pretty-genereous-careless-messy-lazy…

Continue ReadingCognitive Bias: Anchoring effect

Cognitive bias: The Marshmallow effect

Cognitive bias: Time preference. Is Your Dollar Worth More Today?

Continue ReadingCognitive bias: The Marshmallow effect

Cognitive biases and risk decision-making

Behavioral finance uses psychological insights to inform financial theory. Behavioral finance holds that we do not behave like the rational and self-interested agent of economic theories. Homo Sapiens is not…

Continue ReadingCognitive biases and risk decision-making

The herding effect

We are all influenced by the opinions expressed by others when making decisions. This natural tendency results from the anchoring

Continue ReadingThe herding effect
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